Are We Near the Top?

One of the biggest mistakes I made in past bull runs (and watched countless others repeat) is riding the wave too long and then crashing with it. No plan. No exits. Just vibes.

This time, I’m not making that mistake again. I’ve built a full exit strategy for 2025, and I’m sharing it here not because I’m a prophet, but because planning matters more than predicting. 

Here’s how I’m thinking about exiting with profits in hand, not just in screenshots.

Let’s Start with the Market

Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s been on a heater lately. After weeks of chopping around, it finally flipped major resistance zones at $105K and $109K into support. Dips are likely just retests at this point not signs of breakdown.

It’s holding steady above the $104K range high, which is a sign of strength. Structure looks clean. Even the weekly chart printed a nice Morning Star reversal before pushing higher. 

If BTC closes a daily candle above $110K, we could be headed for the next leg to $114K and possibly beyond. Bottom line: momentum is still alive.

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)
This is a big piece of the puzzle for my exit plan. BTC.D is hanging around the 64% level. If it breaks higher, it suggests Bitcoin will keep leading the market and altcoins might lag.

But if BTC.D stalls or gets rejected here, it usually means money’s rotating into alts. That’s where the real fireworks begin. I’m watching this closely. If dominance turns down, it could spark a mini altseason and I’ll adjust my exit strategy to capture that upside.

Altcoin Market Cap (OTHERS)
The OTHERS chart (basically everything not in the top 10) just bounced cleanly off the $192B level and reclaimed the $250B midpoint of its range. 

It even looks like it’s forming a higher low. If we break above $275B, that’s my cue that altcoins especially the mid- and low-caps might be ready for their big moment.

How Will I Know It’s Time to Exit?

I’m not going to try to “call the top.” Nobody nails that. But I am watching for a combo of warning signs:

• Bitcoin goes vertical with 20%+ weekly candles

• Every random influencer suddenly becomes an NFT or Solana gaming expert

• Projects with no real use cases 10x overnight

• Gas fees spike. Memecoins go parabolic. VC tokens start unlocking

• Your Uber driver starts shilling you a coin

If I start seeing those signs all at once? Time to start scaling out.

How I’m Playing It

I’m not doing a single massive exit. I’ll be taking profits in chunks starting small and getting more aggressive as euphoria builds. I’ll rotate out of high-cap alts first, then mid-caps, and finally low-caps and memecoins once they start going parabolic.

The goal isn’t to perfectly time the top. It’s to walk away with more than I started. That means:

• Setting clear targets

• Taking profits without hesitation

• Not getting greedy

I’ve seen too many portfolios go from six or seven figures back to five because people “just wanted one more pump.”

TL;DR: I don’t know exactly when this cycle will top. But I do know what it feels like when the music stops and this time, I’ll be heading for the exit before it does. You don’t need to be perfect. You just need to be prepared.

Because the difference between making it and losing it? It’s not alpha, It’s an exit plan.